BTC price stays under $19K amid hopes Q4 will end Bitcoin bear market

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Bitcoin (BTC) hit new weekly lows into Sep. 28 as danger asset drawdown continued in a single day.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Supply: TradingView

Dealer: “First new lows” earlier than This fall restoration

Knowledge from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed BTC/USD falling to $18,461 on Bitstamp, down virtually $2,000 versus the day before today’s excessive.

The change of path got here in lock step with shares, which turned pink after initially heading marginally higher on the Wall Avenue open.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index in the end completed the day down 0.25% and up 0.25%, respectively.

Cypto, nevertheless, did not recoup its losses, and whereas hopes have been for This fall to convey a few extra stable restoration, merchants have been betting on the ache persevering with first.

Fashionable Twitter account Il Capo of Crypto appeared to confirm that he favored October copying final yr’s efficiency — one thing which earned it the nickname “Uptober.”

In feedback, he added that he was “anticipating bullish This fall. However first new lows.”

Fellow dealer and analyst Rekt Capital in the meantime drew consideration to the hurdles Bitcoin wanted to beat on month-to-month timeframes.

“Already a pointy BTC rejection on the inexperienced ~$19800 stage,” he wrote in a tweet in regards to the upcoming month-to-month candle shut.

“Continued see-sawing in and round this stage is to be anticipated as $BTC approaches its Month-to-month Shut. Most vital will likely be how the Month-to-month Candle truly closes relative to the inexperienced Vary Low.”

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: Rekt Capital/ Twitter

Rekt Capital added {that a} shut beneath that inexperienced line would imply an exit from the month-to-month vary in place since late 2020.

Betting on bears bowing out

Discussing when the bear market of 2022 may finish, opinions differed over the usage of knowledge from earlier halving cycles.

Associated: More ancient Bitcoin leaves its wallet after 10-year hibernation

Importing a comparative chart, Luke Martin, host of the STACKS Podcast, noted that it had been 322 days since Bitcoin’s final all-time excessive of $69,000.

After the 2017 prior all-time excessive, BTC/USD spent 364 days in a bear market, suggesting that the tip might be due if historical past have been to repeat itself.

“Cycle timing right here is perfect,” Charles Edwards, creator of crypto asset supervisor Capriole, reacted.

Others have been much less satisfied, with tedtalksmacro drawing consideration to the truth that the macro surroundings was nothing prefer it was in 2018, one thing Martin acknowledged.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: Luke Martin/ Twitter

As Cointelegraph reported, the USA Federal Reserve has given no dedication to halting the rate of interest hikes pressuring danger belongings, together with crypto, this yr.

The views and opinions expressed listed here are solely these of the creator and don’t essentially mirror the views of Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, you need to conduct your personal analysis when making a choice.