Bitcoin analysts give 3 reasons why BTC price below $20K may be a ‘bear trap’

Bitcoin (BTC) recovered above the $19,000 mark on Sept. 20, a day after falling to its lowest stage in three months.

Bitcoin struggles after dropping under $20K

On the day by day chart, the BTC value rose from $18,255 to $19,650. This 7.5% value rebound mirrored comparable rebound strikes witnessed within the inventory market, suggesting that traders have been coming to phrases with another significant rate hike by the Federal Reserve anticipated on Sept. 20–21.

BTC/USD day by day value chart versus ACWI and Nasdaq. Supply: TradingView

Nevertheless, opinions differ on the longevity of Bitcoin’s rebound. Impartial market analyst Jonny Moe careworn that BTC’s ongoing value motion is much like its sideways consolidation strikes initially of this yr.

In different phrases, Bitcoin’s present value rebounds across the $20,000 mark don’t make a long-term bull case.

Rudy Takala, former Fox Information govt and opinion editor at Cointelegraph, additionally warns crypto merchants to prepare for more “dark times” due to worsening economic conditions globally.

On the other hand, some analysts believe Bitcoin is staring at a strong bullish reversal in the times ahead. Let’s take a closer look at the three optimistic market outlooks.  

Bitcoin prints “bullish hammer”

Bitcoin’s Sept. 20 candlestick is a bullish hammer, which suggests weakening downside momentum, according to pseudonymous analyst Trader Tardigrade.

A bullish hammer candlestick forms when the asset drops significantly lower from its opening value but recovers to close near the same level. Traders see the hammer as a sign of bearish rejection, given its history of preceding market bottoms. 

Trader Tardigrade applies the same theory to Bitcoin’s recovery move on Sept. 20, noting that its bullish hammer may usher in a reversal.

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Pi-Cycle backside

One other technical signal that anticipates Bitcoin to rebound sharply is the Pi-Cycle backside.

Particularly, the open-source indicator tracks two long-term easy shifting averages (SMAs): the 471-day SMA and the 150-day EMA. Historical past reveals that Bitcoin value bottoms out for the market cycle when the 150-day SMA crossed under the 471-day SMA.

In the meantime, the worth heads for a powerful bullish reversal within the days main as much as and after the 150-day SMA closes above the 471-day SMA. Pseudonymous analyst, Titan of Crypto, highlighted that Bitcoin is eyeing a 150-471 SMA bullish crossover someday by 2023.

BTC/USD weekly value chart that includes Pi-Cycle Backside. Supply: TradingView/Titan of Crypto

“1st cross occurred in July,” he famous, including:

“2nd cross is but to happen. Reversal is likely to be nearer than we predict.”

Wyckoff Cycle

Aurelien Ohayon, the CEO of funding technique agency XOR Technique, anticipates Bitcoin to achieve $45,000 by early 2023, arguing that BTC value has been following the favored Wyckoff Cycle sample.

Associated: ‘FED sledgehammer’ will further batter BTC, ETH prices — Bloomberg analyst

A Wyckoff Cycle has 4 phases: accumulation, markup, distribution and markdown. After the markdown part, the cycle repeats with the buildup part, which, as Ohayon factors out, is the case with Bitcoin’s ongoing value rebound.

BTC/USD illustrated within the Wyckoff Cycle phases. Supply:

“Bitcoin is getting into the Ultimate Bullish Part of the Wyckoff Cycle,” the analyst concludes.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the writer and don’t essentially mirror the views of Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, it is best to conduct your personal analysis when making a choice.