Bitcoin price dips 14% in August as trader warns of ‘macro drop down’

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Bitcoin (BTC) has sealed its worst August efficiency since 2015 after the month-to-month candle closed down 13.9%.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Supply: TradingView

Weekly candle “would not look good”

Knowledge from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirms that BTC/USD completed the month at $19,990.

A knock to bulls’ efforts to stabilize spot value, the August shut was solely the second month-to-month candle end under the $20,000 mark (relying on the alternate used) since late 2020.

BTC/USD 1-month candle chart (Bitstamp). Supply: TradingView

Whereas preserving June’s shut because the macro low on the month-to-month chart, the efficiency led merchants into firmly bearish territory. Amongst them was Crypto Tony, who warned that the stage was set for deeper losses going ahead.

His outlook, he informed Twitter followers on the day, noticed him “leaning in the direction of a macro drop down.”

Caleb Franzen, senior market analyst at Cubic Analytics, added that the primary weekly candle of September is already shaping as much as take Bitcoin additional into the pink.

“The weekly candle for Bitcoin would not look good, although it is nonetheless very early within the week,” he warned alongside an explanatory chart.

“The lengthy high wick and selloff is objectively a foul signal, if it closes this fashion. Significantly if it turns right into a pink candle. One thing to look at for the remainder of the week.”

Others noticed extra optimistic implications within the month-to-month shut.

Widespread Twitter account Dave the wave highlighted shifting common convergence/ divergence (MACD) as having predicted the comedown from native highs above $25,000 and now conversely favoring reduction for bulls.

Fellow dealer Johal Miles reiterated the possibly bullish knock-on impact of an MACD cross from mid-August, one which nonetheless had seen “no continuation but.”

BTC/USD month-to-month returns chart (screenshot). Supply: TradingView

New “historic lows” for hodl metric

One on-chain indicator particularly in the meantime strengthened the sensation that present BTC value ranges are for accumulating, not promoting.

Associated: BTC price top warnings emerge as 10K BTC leaves wallet after 9 years

Bitcoin’s Realized Value Hodl (RHODL) ratio, which measures the relative worth of cash shifting in current weeks in comparison with one or two years prior, now sits at its lowest ever.

The doubtful achievement was seen by Philip Swift, creator of on-chain knowledge useful resource LookIntoBitcoin.

“RHODL Ratio is now at historic lows. Indicating near-term costs paid for $BTC are comparatively low to these paid 1-2yrs in the past,” he explained.

“Helpful method of figuring out sentiment by way of precise habits. Reveals market is v.bearish bitcoin proper now. Accumulate.”

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the writer and don’t essentially replicate the views of Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, you need to conduct your individual analysis when making a call.