Funding Overview
As I begin to write about Dogecoin (DOGE-USD), I discover that CoinGecko exhibits that there are a total of 13,250 listed coins or tokens. There are dozens of recent tokens which might be listed on varied exchanges (decentralized and centralized) globally on a weekly foundation.
The world of cryptocurrency has its good and unhealthy. Joe Biden’s govt order on cryptocurrency requires accountable innovation. That’s the great half. The blockchain know-how is past simply cryptocurrency buying and selling or hypothesis.
The unhealthy half is that a whole lot of cash or tokens are being listed. That is translated into extreme hypothesis and scams. I consider that few years down the road, 20% or 25% of cash and tokens will survive.
It’s subsequently necessary to be very selective in selecting cryptocurrencies for long-term funding.
Throughout the cryptocurrency house, meme cash made headlines in 2021. Particularly, Dogecoin and Shiba Inu (SHIB-USD) have been the favorites.
After a euphoric rise to 74 cents by Might 2021, Dogecoin has declined by 84.3% to present ranges of 11 cents. The meme coin nonetheless trades at a market capitalization of $15 billion.
The query I wish to deal with on this article is the potential for survival of Dogecoin within the coming years.
After the large plunge from highs, is Dogecoin a superb funding?
I wish to discuss in regards to the survive and development of Dogecoin from a barely totally different perspective.
Fiat Cash and Dogecoin
Let’s get right into a little bit of macro-economics to cement a case for purchasing Dogecoin at present ranges.
Within the present monetary system, the federal government issued foreign money is known as fiat cash. In easy phrases, fiat cash (greenback, euro, yuan, amongst others) are simply backed by authorities belief.
Paper cash is nugatory when individuals lose belief within the authorities or monetary system. Within the final 100-years, there have been 29 instances of hyperinflation on this planet. In every case, paper cash has develop into nugatory.
How is that this linked to Dogecoin or cryptocurrencies?
Dogecoin is solely a digital foreign money. There are numerous cash or tokens within the crypto world which might be backed by a powerful use case. For Dogecoin, the one utility is that the meme coin can be utilized as a foreign money.
Subsequently, Dogecoin will exist so long as the group backs it as a digital foreign money.
There’s one other fascinating perspective right here.
Dogecoin was barely surviving till Elon Musk generated curiosity of the crypto world on the coin. The backing of Elon Musk has continued. Just lately, Musk tweeted that he continues to carry Bitcoin (BTC-USD), Ethereum (ETH-USD) and Dogecoin.
Earlier this yr, Tesla (TSLA) allowed customers to buy selected merchandise utilizing Dogecoin. The electrical automobile main has additionally began accepting Dogecoin at supercharging station. Clearly, it’s Musk who’s backing Dogecoin after bringing it to the limelight.
My level is as follows – So long as Elon backs Dogecoin and the group put their belief behind that backing, Dogecoin is positioned to outlive. I might not be shocked if Elon permits prospects to purchase Tesla vehicles utilizing Dogecoin as soon as there’s extra readability on the standing of digital property from a regulatory perspective. This may presumably be a serious upside catalyst for Dogecoin.
Dogecoin is Engaging at Present Ranges
I consider that Dogecoin is price contemplating at 11 cents. It’s unlikely that Dogecoin will re-test all-time highs of 73 cents. Nonetheless, I cannot be shocked if the meme coin returns 30% to 50% within the subsequent 12-months.
One purpose to be bullish on Dogecoin is a powerful group. At the moment, the meme coin has 4.2 million holders. Crypto.com information signifies that there have been 300 million crypto holders in December 2021. It’s additional estimated that the variety of crypto holders will increase to one billion by the top of 2022. On the whole, newer traders would like to carry the highest cash or tokens. With wider adoption of cryptocurrency, the Dogecoin group is prone to get greater.
One more reason to be bullish on Dogecoin is the decline in regulatory headwinds. The USA has already indicated {that a} ban on cryptocurrency is unlikely. Europe has additionally voted in opposition to a ban on Bitcoin. Because the regulatory framework is obvious, extra corporations will begin accepting cryptocurrencies as a fee technique. It’s price noting that greater than 2,000 locations, shops and companies already accept Dogecoin. After all, a majority could be small companies. Nonetheless, clear regulatory framework will translate into greater corporations accepting Dogecoin as a fee technique.
I need to additionally point out right here that Bitcoin touched highs of $69,044 on November 10, 2021. On the identical day, Dogecoin traded at 27 cents. It goes with out saying that Dogecoin has a excessive constructive correlation with Bitcoin. Nonetheless, Dogecoin has the next beta.
If Bitcoin developments increased once more, Dogecoin will comply with. Geo-political tensions, inflation, restricted provide and wider adoption are a number of causes to be bullish on Bitcoin.
Speaking about Bitcoin and Dogecoin as a fee technique, Elon has an important point to make –
“[T]he transaction quantity of bitcoin is low, and the associated fee per transaction is excessive. bitcoin is extra appropriate as a retailer of worth.”
Dogecoin, alternatively, looks as if a superb digital foreign money with a decrease transaction value.
Threat Elements
The Federal Reserve elevated rates of interest for the primary time in three years. With inflation at a 40-year excessive, it’s probably that a number of rate of interest hikes are scheduled for 2022. On a relative foundation, that is prone to translate into tightening of liquidity within the financial system.
In such a situation, the speculative cash in monetary property declines. Dogecoin or different crypto can appropriate if there’s an aggressive charge hike by 2022 to curb inflation. Nonetheless, it’s price noting that even with 4-5 charge hikes, actual rates of interest are prone to stay destructive. This may probably assist the constructive momentum in dangerous property.
Dogecoin additionally has no utility apart from being a digital foreign money. If we apply a enterprise time period, meme coin has a low barrier to entry. A February 2022 report indicates that early investors in Dogecoin and Shiba Inu are turning to CateCoin (CATE-USD). Having mentioned that, the group backing for Dogecoin is way greater as in comparison with CateCoin or Shiba Inu.
Concluding Views
I perceive that there are excessive views about cryptocurrencies. The truth is someplace within the center. Bitcoin has been the most effective performing asset class within the final 10-years.
My level is that traders can take into account good buying and selling alternatives on this planet of cryptocurrencies. Dogecoin appears to be like engaging at a degree the place cryptocurrencies appear to be poised for a reversal on the upside.
Given the high-beta within the crypto world, I might not be shocked at a fast 10% to twenty% features for the meme coin. Within the long-term, Elon Musk is prone to stay the image of belief for Dogecoin.