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Why Solana price will struggle to return to $100

Mikhailev by Mikhailev
May 17, 2022
in Solana
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Why Solana price will struggle to return to $100
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  • Solana worth motion is comparatively weak in comparison with its friends.
  • Promoting stress was fast upon reaching a important Ichimoku resistance stage.
  • Sideways worth motion is probably going whereas market contributors digest final week’s flash crash.

Solana price made some vital positive aspects from its new nine-month and 2022 lows final week. Nevertheless, the bounce from the lows has been considerably muted in comparison with Bitcoin and the broader altcoin market.

Solana worth struggles to take care of positive aspects remodeled the weekend

Solana worth skilled the identical dramatic swings in worth motion final week that the broader crypto market skilled. After hitting a brand new 2022 low of $37.37 on Might 12, SOL rallied over 57% to shut simply shy of $60 at $58.83 on Sunday. Additional upside momentum was terminated upon hitting the every day Tenkan-Sen.

Between Might 12 and Might 14, there have been vital gaps between the our bodies of the Solana worth every day candlesticks and the Tenkan-Sen. Inside the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo system, massive gaps between candlestick our bodies and the Tenkan-Sen are usually not tolerated for very lengthy and sometimes return to equilibrium between 4 to 6 candlesticks. So a robust again to the Tenkan-Sen was not sudden.

Likewise, the promoting stress of Solana price on the Tenkan-Sen shouldn’t be sudden. There’s a very refined hidden bearish divergence between the every day candlestick chart and the Composite Index. Hidden divergence happens when the worth chart shows decrease highs whereas an oscillator reveals increased highs. Hidden bearish divergence warns that the present upswing will seemingly terminate, and the dominant downtrend will proceed.

SOL/USDT Each day Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart

Nevertheless, a return to the nine-month and new 2022 lows close to $37 isn’t a foregone conclusion. Solana worth reached excessively oversold circumstances final week on the every day and weekly charts. As well as, the flash crash final week fulfilled a retracement between the extraordinarily skinny 2021 Quantity Profile excessive quantity nodes of $135 and the 2021 Quantity Level of Management at $37.36.

Some consolidation of worth motion after a 57% achieve must be anticipated earlier than Solana price resumes its uptrend to retest the 2022 Quantity Level of Management at $100. Solana worth will seemingly face appreciable resistance on the 50% Fibonacci retracement and weekly Tenkan-Sen within the $75 worth space, and once more on the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $84.

Relying on how lengthy SOL consolidates, $84 may additionally include the weekly Kijun-Sen, additional exacerbating the resistance at that stage.Draw back dangers are seemingly restricted to the present 2022 lows within the $37 worth space.

 



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